Poll Results - State Breakdown

Below are the results of three- or four-day polls of likely voters broken down by battleground states for the presidential race. Results are based on telephone interviews with 801 registered voters in each state, aged 18+, and released as indicated below. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney or Kerry—Edwards?

  11/01
POLL 9
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
45%
48%
49%
48%
48%
50%
46%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
45%
46%
47%
46%
48%
47%
47%
52%
Undecided
10%
6%
4%
6%
4%
30%
7%
3%
  10/28 10/29
10/29
 10/29 10/28
10/28
 10/29 10/29
POLL 8
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
47%
49%
49%
48%
49%
50%
48%
44%
Kerry-Edwards
47%
46%
46%
47%
48%
47%
48%
51%
Undecided
6%
5%
5%
5%
3%
3%
4%
5%
  10/22 10/21
10/22
 10/22 10/22
10/22
 10/21 N/A
POLL 7
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
46%
49%
48%
48%
48%
49%
46%
0%
Kerry-Edwards
48%
47%
48%
46%
49%
47%
47%
0%
Undecided
6%
4%
4%
6%
3%
4%
7%
0%
  10/15 10/12
10/12
 10/12 10/15
10/15
 10/12 10/20
POLL 6
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
40%
49%
49%
51%
45%
49%
46%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
49%
45%
47%
45%
48%
46%
46%
51%
Undecided
11%
6%
4%
4%
7%
5%
8%
4%
  09/30 09/29
10/01
 09/28 09/30
10/07
 10/01 10/07
POLL 5
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
42%
49%
49%
52%
46%
49%
48%
44%
Kerry-Edwards
49%
43%
45%
43%
48%
45%
46%
50%
Undecided
9%
8%
6%
5%
6%
6%
6%
6%
  09/16 09/15
09/17
 09/14 09/16
TBA
 09/17 09/24
POLL 4
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
41%
49%
48%
52%
45%
0%
49%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
48%
44%
47%
42%
49%
0%
45%
47%
Undecided
11%
7%
5%
6%
6%
0%
6%
8%
  08/31 08/30
08/31
 08/30 08/31
08/30
 08/31 09/09
POLL 3
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
42%
48%
47%
48%
46%
48%
47%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
47%
47%
48%
43%
49%
45%
46%
48%
Undecided
11%
5%
5%
9%
5%
7%
7%
7%
  08/18
08/19
08/20
 08/25
POLL 2
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
42%
46%
47%
49%
44%
46%
44%
43%
Kerry-Edwards
48%
47%
49%
46%
49%
48%
49%
49%
Undecided
10%
7%
4%
5%
7%
6%
7%
8%
  08/04
08/05
08/06
 08/13
POLL 1
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
42%
46%
46%
49%
45%
48%
43%
42%
Kerry-Edwards
49%
49%
49%
45%
49%
48%
51%
51%
Undecided
9%
5%
5%
6%
6%
4%
6%
7%

2. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney, Kerry—Edwards, or Nader—Camejo?

  11/01
POLL 9
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
45%
48%
49%
47%
48%
50%
55%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
44%
46%
46%
45%
48%
46%
33%
51%
Nader-Camejo
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
4%
2%
Undecided
10%
5%
4%
7%
3%
3%
8%
2%
  10/28 10/29
10/29
 10/29 10/28
10/28
 10/29 10/29
POLL 8
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
47%
49%
49%
47%
49%
50%
55%
44%
Kerry-Edwards
47%
46%
46%
46%
47%
46%
35%
50%
Nader-Camejo
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
4%
2%
Undecided
5%
4%
4%
6%
3%
3%
6%
4%
  10/22 10/21
10/22
 10/22 10/22
10/22
 10/21 N/A
POLL 7
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
46%
49%
48%
48%
48%
49%
46%
0%
Kerry-Edwards
47%
46%
47%
45%
48%
46%
46%
0%
Nader-Camejo
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
Undecided
6%
4%
4%
6%
3%
4%
6%
0%
  10/15 10/12
10/12
 10/12 10/15
10/15
 10/12 10/20
POLL 6
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
40%
49%
49%
51%
45%
49%
46%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
48%
44%
46%
43%
47%
45%
45%
50%
Nader-Camejo
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
Undecided
11%
5%
4%
5%
7%
5%
8%
3%
  09/30 09/29
10/01
 09/28 09/30
10/07
 10/01 10/07
POLL 5
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
42%
49%
49%
52%
46%
49%
48%
44%
Kerry-Edwards
48%
42%
44%
42%
47%
44%
45%
49%
Nader-Camejo
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
Undecided
9%
7%
5%
5%
6%
6%
6%
5%
  09/16 09/15
09/17
 09/14 09/16
N/A*
 09/17 09/24
POLL 4
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
41%
49%
48%
52%
45%
0%
49%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
47%
43%
46%
40%
48%
0%
44%
46%
Nader-Camejo
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
0%
1%
2%
Undecided
10%
6%
4%
7%
5%
0%
6%
7%
  08/31 08/30
08/31
 08/30 08/31
08/30
 08/31 09/09
POLL 3
MI
WI
IA
OH
MN
FL
PA
 WA
Bush-Cheney
42%
48%
47%
48%
46%
48%
47%
45%
Kerry-Edwards
45%
46%
47%
42%
47%
44%
45%
47%
Nader-Camejo
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
Undecided
10%
4%
4%
9%
6%
6%
7%
7%
  08/18
08/19
08/20
 08/25
POLL 2
MI
WI
IA
OH